CONSPIRACY RISING
Chapter 1 Sub bab
Conspiracy Theories:
Paranoid Delusion
or Politically
Meaningful?
It is
reasonable to question why anyone would come to understand history as the
product of conspiracy. An easy answer might be that those who propagate and
adopt conspiracy theories are paranoid. Their beliefs are rooted in a
psychological problem that marks the way in which they interpret the world.
Swami et al. found in their survey of British citizens that there were several
character traits that correlated positively with belief in conspiracy theories.
Those related personality factors include: a cynical attitude toward politics,
defiance toward politicians, support for democratic principles, and an
appreciation for new and unusual ideas. The study also found conspiracy belief
to be negatively correlated with agreeableness, a factor the study’s authors
comment “ likely stemmed from the association between disagreeableness and
suspicion and antagonism towards others.” Goertzel’s 1994 study produced
similar findings, concluding that belief in conspiracies correlates with
feelings ofpolitical alienation from the political system. In addition,
conspiracy theories helpfully provide a host of enemies toward which believers
can direct their anger, and in this way function to resolve the tension that
might exist between an individual’s view of the world, and reality.
The title of
Richard Hofstadter’s classic article “The Paranoid Style in American Politics”
suggests that he argues that those who believe in conspiracy theories are
simply irrational and suspicious. Hofstadter makes clear, however, that he is
borrowing the clinical term “paranoid” for other purposes. While he argues that
those who adopt conspiracy theories suffer from a deep sense of persecution,
which they systematize in “grandiose theories of conspiracy,” the distinguishes
between the “clinical paranoiac” and the “paranoid political spokesman.”
Although they share some characteristics both are “overheated, oversuspicious,
overaggressive, grandiose, and apocalyptic in expression” there are clear
differences between them. Most notably, Hofstadter argues, the clinical
paranoiac believes threats are being directed against him, but the political
paranoiac believes the threats are directed against a nation, culture, and or
way of life. For these reasons, political paranoiacs understand their
convictions to be both unselfish and patriotic, and support them with a sense
of “righteousness and moral indignation.”
Conspiracy
thinkers often fall into this second category, and it is therefore more
accurate and useful to consider how and why adopting conspiracy beliefs might
appeal to the political sensibilities of particular individuals. First, as
noted above, part of conspiracy theory’s appeal and one of its flaws is the
assumption that it is possible for human beings to make history, that is, to
shape the world to their will. This way of understanding can be reassuring, for
it begins with the assumption that it is possible for individuals to exercise some
form of control over the world. This is also linked to the notion of identity.
As James points out, where previously identity was ascribed, in modernity, we
can create our own identity.
Second,
through their explanation of history, conspiracy theories provide their
adherents with an explanation of how and why evil is at work in the world.
Rather than addressing the complexity of human existence, however, they
identify good and evil in clear-cut terms, and in so doing, also divide human
beings into those who are good and those who are evil. In this world, shades of
gray do not exist. Flanagan notes that this dualistic way of approaching
politics is useful in times of war and for populist movements aiming to take
power. It clearly distinguishes between political allies and political enemies.
A third
reason for the appeal of conspiracy theories lies in the security they provide
to their adherents. As citizens of the modern world, we are accustomed to
encountering change and crisis in our day-to-day lives. To varying degrees, we
become adept at living with uncertainty. We learn to adapt to small scale
personal change such as moving house or changing employment. We apprehend that
at the national and international levels, change is also a constant feature of the
political landscape. The events of September 11, 2001, shocked and saddened us,
but it was the scope of their violence, and their implications that may have
surprised us, not the fact that the nature of international politics could change.
It is the case, however, that a small but significant minority of individuals
do not, and perhaps cannot, adequately adapt. They are threatened by
significant alterations to their lives.
In his study
of conspiracy belief, Goertzel found that one factor that significantly
correlated with conspiracy beliefs was concern about one’s employment security.
One way in which individuals respond to these kinds of threats is to turn to
belief systems that offer them comfort and security by providing an explanation
for their problems and the promise that a solution exists that will allow
things to be better in the future. While these types of ideologies are not
always dangerous, they frequently have pathological aspects. An individual who
loses his or her job and falls into this trap might be inclined to blame
“immigrants swamping the job market,” and conclude that the deportation of
immigrants is an appropriate solution. Very few problems in the modern world,
however, have such clear explanations, and it is rare that they have a clear-cut
solution. Blaming a particular group or groups for one’s own problems is a much
easier intellectual enterprise than considering the ways in which forces of the
global economy have transformed the employment market.
An important
point of clarification here is that although conspiracy theories may at first
seem to provide a very simple explanation for political events, when one
considers them carefully, it becomes apparent that they often paint a picture
of the world that is extremely complex. A number of conspiracy theories exist,
for example, that suggest some type of international Jewish conspiracy was
behind the events of September 11, 2001. One such theory claims that 4,000 Jews
were warned to stay home from work on that day on the instruction of the Israeli
Secret Service, a theory apparently based on a Jerusalem Postarticle that
stated 4,000 Israelis were believed to have been near the World Trade Center
and the Pentagon on the day of the attacks. Although this explanation appears
simple, if it were true, it would rely on the collusion of over 4,000
individuals to keep the truth secret, and a vastly complex chain of power
relationships. The official story is much simpler. Once again, Occam’s razor suggests
the conspiracy theory is unlikely.
Groh
suggests that at the level of everyday perception, it is only an individual’s
“healthy common sense” that prevents him or her from adopting conspiracy theory
as a mode of explanation for events. In that sense, conspiratorialists are not
abnormal. Every human being might at any time be tempted to cross the line and
utilize conspiracy as explanation. It is, he writes, a “permanent temptation,” and
we are all potentially susceptible to such belief systems. Indeed, the leap to
conspiracy theory may not be as great as we imagine.
Conspiracy
theories are internally consistent, and like more scientific understandings of
the world, they begin with the assumption of explicit causality. Indeed, they
surpass reality in terms of their logical consistency. Individuals and events
are connected in ways that are more coherent than in the real world, where
errors and ambiguity exist. Nesta Webster, arguably the most influential
conspiracy theorist of the 20th century, became convinced that the world was governed
by conspirators while she researched the French Revolution. She argued that
since it was impossible for the masses to create such an upheaval themselves,
it was therefore reasonable to ask “by whom was it made?” She concluded that a
Jewish conspiracy controlling such
forces as “Grand Orient Masonry, Theosophy, Pan-Germanism, International Finance,
and Social Revolution” was involved, and
this conspiracy was the cause of all threats to Britain and “Christian civilization.” Webster developed
an elaborate schematic table that purported to illustrate secret links among
groups as diverse as the Fenians and the British Conservative Party.
Finally, as
Hofstadter remarks, it is certainly true that history has been marked by a good
number of conspiratorial acts. This is because all political behavior requires
strategy; strategy may depend on secrecy and anything that is secret might be
described as conspiratorial. In addition, real political conspiracies have existed.
The “massive campaign of political spying and sabotage” that constituted the
Watergate scandal, for example, revealed the duplicity of the political leaders
concerned and their capacity to engage in illegal conspiratorial behavior to
accomplish their political goals. As Johnson points out, however, real conspiracies
are not the rigid systems of power that conspiracy theorists believe exist.
They are comprised of people, not “mindless pawns of evil.”
The Watergate
conspiracy is notable, but so too is its discovery and aftermath. Individuals even
those involved in illegal conspiracies often behave in unpredictable ways, and
in democracies, this capacity can be fully expressed. Participants or observers
to a conspiracy may decide to speak up and reveal what has happened, as Deep
Throat did in the case of Watergate. In a similar vein, Aaronovitch argues that
the most effective conspiracy involving the American government was the 1985–86
Iran-Contra Affair.
This
conspiracy saw senior members of the Reagan administration circumvent a
congressional prohibition on support for the Nicaraguan Contras by selling
weapons to Iran. It was intended both to secure the release of American hostages
in Iran and provide support for the Contra rebels in Nicaragua. The elaborate
scheme unraveled, and eventually 14 people were charged in the affair. Again,
reality proved too difficult to control.
Popular
culture has also absorbed these ideas. From the early 1990s onward, the idea of
conspiracy has featured in a variety of media. Chris Carter’s X-Filesfranchise
brought conspiracy theory to American prime time television for almost 10
years, quickly becoming part of the cultural landscape. As Joyce Millman wrote
for the New York Times,“It hauntingly captured the cultural moment when
paranoid distrust of government spilled over from the political fringes to the
mainstream, aided by the conspiracy theory disseminating capability of the
Internet. With its high-level coverups, Deep Throats and adherence to the watchwords
“Trust no one,” The X-Filestapped into still-fresh memories of Iran-Contra and
Watergate, not to mention Ruby Ridge and Waco.” Building on a surging mistrust
of government, the program followed two FBI agents, Fox Mulder and Dana Scully,
as they investigated cases that involved extraterrestrial intervention in world
affairs, and which seemed to suggest that a secret group of government
officials and business executives were working together toward nefarious ends.
Interestingly, The X-Filesis one of the fi rst appearances in popular culture
of the superconspiracy form; the program’s story lines involve evidence going
back in history thousands of years.
More
recently, Dan Brown’s novel The Da Vinci Code and its follow-up, The Lost
Symbol, have further extended the reach of conspiratorial thinking. Brown’s stories
concern the adventures of Harvard symbologist Robert Langdon, whose esoteric
knowledge draws him into the inner workings of the Illuminati, Freemasons, and
Knights Templar, and there is no denying the books’ appeal. The DaVinci
Codesold over 80 million copies worldwide, and on its fi rst day of release,
The Lost Symbolwas the fastest selling adult book ever, with sales of over one
million in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The books purport
to reveal the hidden truths of the Knights Templar, the Freemasons, the
Illuminati, and that other secret society with a worldwide reach, the Roman
Catholic Church.
Dan Brown
was aware he was writing fiction, but the publicity his work received, and the
response of these institutions to the charges made against them by characters
in the books, suggested that at least in some people’s minds, the books were
either too close to the truth or a threat for other reasons. In Britain, the
Catholic “DaVinci Code Response Team” commissioned a survey concerned with
gauging the effect of the book. It found that of those who had read the novel,
60 percent believed that its claim that Jesus fathered a child with Mary
Magdalene was true. The response by the Catholic Church in the United States was
similar. The United States Conference of Catholic Bishops launched the website
Jesusdecoded.com to counter the book’s claims. Those with the conspiracy
mind-set, however, were unlikely to be convinced—in fact, they were more likely
to have their beliefs reaffirmed by such a campaign. The Da Vinci Codemovie
struck a similar chord.
Dozens of
other conspiracy-oriented movies have been made, in the Post Cold War,
post-Watergate era, and many of them have been marked by, if not antigovernment
themes, then certainly the message that one ought to be suspicious of
politicians and one’s government. Barry Levinson’s Wag the Dog;Michael Mann’s
The Insider;Steven Spielberg’s Minority Report Oliver Stone’s JFKand Nixon;Andy
and Larry Wachowski’s The Matrix and of course, Richard Donner’s Conspiracy
Theory all fall into this category. With the decline of the Soviet Union as a
dependable foil for United States’ interests, one suspects, a conspiracy-minded
public’s adoption of the government as the people’s enemy became a particularly
appealing plot line.
Conspiracism’s
infiltration of popular culture has increased familiarity with the content of
specifi c conspiracy theories and arguably also increased their acceptance as a
mode of political explanation. In addition, the Internet has spread conspiracy
theories further and faster than ever before. Barkun argues that this method of
transmission also makes them a more respectable form of explanation. Conspiracy
theories were once a form of stigmatized knowledge; the larger political community
marginalized them. Through the Internet, however, they have moved closer to the
mainstream. With millions of pages of information and no means for its readers
to distinguish between fact and fiction, the Internet blurs the line between
these two realms. As a result, once stigmatized forms of knowledge may become indistinguishable
from more mainstream ways of thinking.
Barkun notes
that through popular culture, individuals who are inclined to think in terms of
conspiracies are given further reason to do so, and through the Internet, they
are provided with a smorgasbord of options as well as a means of disseminating
their own views. Jodi Dean, in fact, goes so far as to suggest that conspiracy
theories are a reasonable form of political expression. She argues that a
shared conception of “reality” does not exist, so that conspiracy theories are
perhaps plausible ways to understand the world and must be taken seriously.
Thus, conspiracy is no longer part of the “lunatic fringe, but a “vehicle for
political contestation.” While Dean’s arguments are interesting, this book
takes the position that although conspiracy theories very often spring from
legitimate political grievances and or are the result of significant political
concerns, their content and structure are problematic and rarely reflect the genuine
condition of political existence.
Another
reason for the prevalence of conspiracy theories is that modern governments are
extremely complex entities and require significant bureaucracies in order to
function. The complexity of these systems can make their behavior occasionally
incomprehensible to their citizens. Government policies may be influenced by specific
interests and marked by contradictions. In addition, civil servants may not
always effectively or consistently implement those policies. This situation
lends itself to conspiratorial explanations. If one cannot understand how
governmental decisions are made and policies implemented, one might assume that
an elite conspiracy of individuals is indeed directing a government’s behavior,
and as Hofstadter points out, in democracies, this is particularly problematic.
This
possibility, coupled with high-profile political events in which government
appeared ineffective (for example, Hurricane Katrina, the events of September
11, 2001, and even the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico),
contributed to making conspiracy theories appear to be reasonable explanations
for the government’s lack of response to the chaos of human existence.
Conspiracy
theories have long been a part of American political life, but there are
particular historical periods in American history when they have developed into
a more signifi cant part of public discourse. The remainder of this book
attempts to answer the question of why this is the case, and it explores the
significance of this phenomenon. An important part of this endeavor is a
consideration of the content of those beliefs. The 20th century was littered by
the emergence of a multitude of single-event conspiracy theories, but the real
innovation in conspiracy thinking was the rise of superconspiracies. While
conspiracy thinkers had previously identified the Knights Templar, Freemasons,
and Illuminati as conspirators, it is really only in the past 100 years that
these three groups have found their way into the majority of modern
superconspiracies. The historical record of the Templars, Freemasons, and
Illuminati is enlightening, for it illustrates that these groups and their
leaders are very different from the place they hold in 20th-century conspiracy
theories. The distance between reality and their symbolic meaning reveals much
about the appeal of modern conspiracy theories.
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